V3 research

V3 Research Dashboard

A first visual view of the new V3 research engine, including signal rankings, conditioned breakdowns, and early combination analysis.

Overview Research Summary Live Paper Trading

Catalog signals

Signals defined in the V3 catalog

Events scored

876

Historical signal events observed

Active signals

Signals currently producing events

Assets covered

BTC, ETH, SOL

Current data coverage in this pass

Top ranked signal

ta_atr_expansion_1h

Current best signal by rough ranking

Top combination

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h + ta_atr_expansion_1h

Best same-timestamp overlap so far

Status

What this page means

V3 is now more than a concept. It has a machine-readable signal catalog, event generation, forward outcome scoring, conditioned reporting, and first-pass signal combinations.
This page is an early research dashboard, not a live trade signal page.
Generated: 2026-04-18T09:21:04Z

Ranked signals

Top signal rankings

Signal	Events	Assets	Avg return 12	Win rate 12	Robustness
ta_atr_expansion_1h	59	BTC, ETH, SOL	1.89%	100.00%	1.0000
ta_macd_1h_bear_cross	30	BTC, ETH, SOL	1.44%	70.83%	1.0000
ta_macd_1h_bull_cross	30	BTC, ETH, SOL	1.23%	55.56%	1.0000
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_up	26	BTC, ETH, SOL	0.53%	59.09%	0.6000
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	432	BTC, ETH, SOL	0.19%	48.28%	1.0000
cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	51	ETH, SOL	0.12%	62.75%	0.4000
time_us_session_overlap	120	BTC, ETH, SOL	-0.14%	43.52%	0.6000
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_down	26	BTC, ETH, SOL	-0.06%	50.00%	0.4000
weird_eth_lags_btc_then_reclaims	32	ETH, SOL	-0.22%	38.71%	0.4000
ta_rsi_14_1h_oversold	25	BTC, ETH, SOL	-0.30%	44.00%	0.2000

Quick visual

Top signal return chart

ta_atr_expansion_1h

1.89%

ta_macd_1h_bear_cross

1.44%

ta_macd_1h_bull_cross

1.23%

ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_up

0.53%

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h

0.19%

cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive

0.12%

time_us_session_overlap

-0.14%

ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_down

-0.06%

Conditioned by asset

Per-asset breakdown

Signal	Asset	Events	Avg return 12	Win rate 12
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	BTC	174	0.42%	47.53%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	ETH	140	-0.35%	46.27%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	SOL	118	0.49%	51.79%
cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	ETH	36	-0.32%	52.78%
cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	SOL	15	1.17%	86.67%
ta_atr_expansion_1h	BTC	22	1.97%	100.00%
ta_atr_expansion_1h	ETH	19	1.58%	100.00%
ta_atr_expansion_1h	SOL	18	2.14%	100.00%
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_down	BTC	11	-0.07%	45.45%
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_down	ETH	6	0.00%	66.67%
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_down	SOL	9	-0.09%	44.44%
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_up	BTC	10	1.37%	66.67%

Conditioned by regime

Per-regime breakdown

Signal	Regime	Events	Avg return 12	Win rate 12
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	bear__high_vol	7	-0.29%	14.29%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	bear__low_vol	49	-1.44%	8.16%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	bear__normal_vol	44	-0.14%	40.91%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	bull__high_vol	33	-0.56%	39.29%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	bull__low_vol	26	-0.60%	38.46%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	bull__normal_vol	90	-0.08%	46.48%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	sideways__high_vol	48	1.26%	85.42%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	sideways__low_vol	23	-1.12%	21.74%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	sideways__normal_vol	62	1.96%	77.42%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	unknown	50	0.70%	52.00%
cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	bull__high_vol	8	-1.38%	12.50%
cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	bull__normal_vol	13	-1.43%	30.77%

First-pass combinations

Signal combinations

Signal A	Signal B	Events	Avg return 12	Win rate 12
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	ta_atr_expansion_1h	37	1.82%	100.00%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	ta_macd_1h_bear_cross	12	1.79%	83.33%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	ta_macd_1h_bull_cross	13	1.44%	53.85%
cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	ta_atr_expansion_1h	18	1.13%	100.00%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	weird_eth_lags_btc_then_reclaims	14	0.93%	57.14%
ta_atr_expansion_1h	time_us_session_overlap	11	0.86%	100.00%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_up	17	0.39%	58.82%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	51	0.09%	62.75%
cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive	time_us_session_overlap	10	-0.00%	70.00%
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_down	time_us_session_overlap	9	-0.06%	33.33%
cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h	time_us_session_overlap	64	-0.21%	43.75%
ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_down	ta_rsi_14_1h_oversold	7	-0.35%	57.14%

Quick visual

Top combination return chart

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h + ta_atr_expansion_1h

1.82%

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h + ta_macd_1h_bear_cross

1.79%

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h + ta_macd_1h_bull_cross

1.44%

cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive + ta_atr_expansion_1h

1.13%

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h + weird_eth_lags_btc_then_reclaims

0.93%

ta_atr_expansion_1h + time_us_session_overlap

0.86%

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h + ta_donchian_20_1h_breakout_up

0.39%

cross_rank_tier1_top2_1h + cross_rel_strength_vs_btc_1h_positive

0.09%

Reading the output

Current interpretation

The backbone is in place, but this is still early research and still sample-limited.
Current coverage is strongest in BTC, ETH, and SOL.
External context streams, like Cointelegraph tagging, are planned but not yet wired into the event engine.
The next leap is to convert these signal studies into stronger sequence-aware and cost-aware research.

Latest round: 91392 regime, context, asset-basket, and holding-horizon variants.
Result: promoted ATR/Donchian 24h branch still leads at 51.70% over 33 trades.
Top A/B challenger: ATR longs on all assets plus BTC and ETH Donchian shorts, at 50.62% with -3.08% max drawdown.
Recommendation: Keep the promoted ATR-expansion plus all-asset Donchian-short 24h branch unchanged. Promote the BTC-and-ETH-only Donchian short basket as the main next A/B because it stays closest to the winning baseline while improving win rate, profit factor, and drawdown. Keep the new context-aware MACD-bear ETH/SOL 12h short branch as the secondary research candidate for later bounded testing.